GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 5:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Aston Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Aston Villa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while BSC Young Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Aston Villa

Probability

78.0%

Model confidence

78.0%

Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aston VillaWWWLW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
BSC Young BoysWWLDD

GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Aston VillaBSC Young Boys
68.9Attack33.3
82.2Defence33.3
86.7Form16.7
79.6Power31.3
2.66xG0.58
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