Aston Villavs
BSC Young Boys
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 11/27/2025, 5:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Aston Villa are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while BSC Young Boys are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 48.3-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 31.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.0% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
78.0%
Model confidence
78.0%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60