Aston Villavs
Bologna
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 4/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Aston Villa are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Bologna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80