Aston Villavs
Bologna
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/25/2025, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Aston Villa are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bologna are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Aston Villa hold a 21.9-point power-rating edge (79.6 v 57.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 64.3% in the UEFA Europa League, while Aston Villa holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Aston Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60