Aston Villa U21vs
Brondby U21
COMPLETEDWorld · Premier League International Cup · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa U21 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aston Villa U21 0-4 Brondby U21
Original prediction
Aston Villa U21
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 15:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.18 | 41.3% | 39.1% | -2.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.9% | 27.4% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.58 | 34.9% | 33.6% | -1.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa U21
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Aston Villa U21 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00