GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 1/14/2025, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Bradford · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Aston Villa U21 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bradford are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Bradford hold a 51.8-point power-rating edge (29.5 v 81.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.1% in the EFL Trophy, while Bradford holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Bradford

Probability

67.1%

Model confidence

67.1%

Bradford has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Aston Villa U21DLDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
BradfordWDWWL

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Aston Villa U21Bradford
66.7Attack76.2
0.0Defence85.7
11.1Form85.7
29.5Power81.3
1.19xG2.84
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