Aston Villa U19vs
Viking U19
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Youth League · 10/21/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aston Villa U19 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aston Villa U19 0-1 Viking U19
Original prediction
Aston Villa U19
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.19 | 76.0% | 53.7% | -22.3 pts |
| Draw | 6.48 | 14.0% | 21.7% | 7.7 pts |
| Away | 9.06 | 10.0% | 24.6% | 14.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-22.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Aston Villa U19
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Aston Villa U19 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80