Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asti · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asti 0-1 Lascaris
Original prediction
Asti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 11 October 2026 at 02:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.5% | 39.2% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 2.95 | 30.7% | 29.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 26.8% | 31.4% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Asti
Probability
39.2%
Model confidence
39.2%
Asti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AstiLDWDD
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
LascarisNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
AstiLascaris
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.44xG1.23