Astivs
Borgosesia
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie D - Girone A · 10/25/2026, 1:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asti · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asti 0-3 Borgosesia
Original prediction
Asti
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 15 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.12 | 42.5% | 36.1% | -6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.21 | 28.1% | 28.5% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.4% | 35.4% | 6.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Asti
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Asti has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AstiDLWLD
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BorgosesiaWLLDW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AstiBorgosesia
50.0Attack66.7
50.0Defence66.7
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.27xG1.41