GGOALVIO

Greece · Super League 1 · 8/26/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Asteras Tripolis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Asteras Tripolis are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while OFI are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 43.3 against 41.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.1% in the Super League 1, while Asteras Tripolis holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Asteras Tripolis

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

Asteras Tripolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Asteras TripolisLLDDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
OFIWDDLL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Asteras TripolisOFI
40.4Attack36.4
44.4Defence49.5
38.4Form35.4
43.3Power41.9
1.32xG1.10
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