Asteras Tripolisvs
Levadiakos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/24/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asteras Tripolis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (11%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asteras Tripolis 0-0 Levadiakos
Original prediction
Asteras Tripolis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 12:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.99 | 46.6% | 41.6% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.15 | 29.5% | 27.5% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 3.90 | 23.9% | 30.9% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.15 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–011%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Asteras Tripolis
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Asteras Tripolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 0 · GA 5 · avg 0.00/1.00