Asteras Tripolisvs
Iraklis 1908
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 9/7/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asteras Tripolis · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asteras Tripolis 0-2 Iraklis 1908
Original prediction
Asteras Tripolis
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 48.9% | 41.9% | -6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 28.4% | 28.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 4.10 | 22.8% | 30.1% | 7.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Asteras Tripolis
Probability
41.9%
Model confidence
41.9%
Asteras Tripolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00