Asteras Tripolisvs
Atromitos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 1 · 10/10/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asteras Tripolis · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asteras Tripolis 2-1 Atromitos
Original prediction
Asteras Tripolis
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 03:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.36 | 39.4% | 36.7% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.10 | 30.0% | 29.2% | -0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.05 | 30.5% | 34.1% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Asteras Tripolis
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Asteras Tripolis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00