Asteras Tripolis IIvs
Zakynthos
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 10/17/2026, 11:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asteras Tripolis II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Asteras Tripolis II 1-0 Zakynthos, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Asteras Tripolis II 1-1 Zakynthos
Original prediction
Asteras Tripolis II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 49.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.8% | 29.0% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.36 | 20.7% | 21.9% | 1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.25 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.4 pts
Projected Score
Asteras Tripolis II 1–0 Zakynthos
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Asteras Tripolis II
Probability
49.1%
Model confidence
49.1%
Asteras Tripolis II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00