Asteras Tripolis IIvs
Apollon Pontou
COMPLETEDGreece · Super League 2 · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asteras Tripolis II · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Asteras Tripolis II 1-0 Apollon Pontou, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Asteras Tripolis II 1-0 Apollon Pontou
Original prediction
Asteras Tripolis II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.92 | 47.3% | 58.5% | 11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.03 | 30.0% | 25.2% | -4.8 pts |
| Away | 4.00 | 22.7% | 16.3% | -6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.92 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.3 pts
Projected Score
Asteras Tripolis II 1–0 Apollon Pontou
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Asteras Tripolis II
Probability
58.5%
Model confidence
58.5%
Asteras Tripolis II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20