Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-1 (9%), 4-1 (8%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Astana II 0-4 Tobol 2
Original prediction
Astana II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 August 2026 at 22:25 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.1-unified-aggregate-winner.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–19%
- 2.4–18%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Astana II
Probability
73.3%
Model confidence
8.8%
Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Astana IILWLWL
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Tobol 2LLLLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Astana IITobol 2
56.9Attack47.1
43.1Defence5.9
51.0Form13.7
51.4Power25.2
3.53xG1.38