GGOALVIO

Kazakhstan · 1. Division · 5/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Astana II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Astana II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Khan Tengri are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Astana II hold a 9.4-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the 1. Division, while Astana II holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Astana II

Probability

58.1%

Model confidence

10.2%

Astana II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Astana IIWWLLW

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Khan TengriWWWLW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Astana IIKhan Tengri
53.7Attack35.2
38.9Defence40.7
48.1Form33.3
48.1Power38.7
2.16xG1.17
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