1. Division1. Division
Thursday, 2 July 2026Last updated 10:11
Astana II

Astana II

Home
WLW
61
Full time
Kaspij Aktau 2

Kaspij Aktau 2

Away
LL
GoalVio prediction
60% confidence
Astana II(60%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Astana II
Win probability
Astana II
60%
Draw
23%
Kaspij Aktau 2
16%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Astana II
89
Kaspij Aktau 2
18
Defence
Astana II
66
Kaspij Aktau 2
0
Momentum
Astana II
67
Kaspij Aktau 2
0
Danger (xG)
Astana II
2.40
Kaspij Aktau 2
0.45
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Astana II)
2.40
avg per match
xG for (Kaspij Aktau 2)
0.45
avg per match
xG against (Astana II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Kaspij Aktau 2)
5.40
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Astana IIAstana II
WLWW
Kaspij Aktau 2Kaspij Aktau 2
LLW

Probability breakdown

60% confidence
Astana II60%
Draw23%
Kaspij Aktau 216%

Astana II leads with 60% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Astana II head into this in 1. Division fixture in decent form (WLW), while Kaspij Aktau 2 arrive in mixed form (LL). Astana II have a 67% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 0% for Kaspij Aktau 2 over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Astana II's elite attack (89/100) faces a vulnerable Kaspij Aktau 2 defence (0/100), while Kaspij Aktau 2's attack is up against a solid Astana II backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Astana II's favour.

Astana II have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Kaspij Aktau 2 have won 1 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per away game.

Astana II have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 7.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Astana II to win with 60% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Astana II 6027%, Draw 2325%, Kaspij Aktau 2 1648%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Astana II 1Draws 00 Kaspij Aktau 2
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
2 Jul 2026
Astana II
W61
Kaspij Aktau 2

Recent form

Astana II

Astana II

W
vs Jaiyq
17 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Yelimay Semey 2
10 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Kaspij Aktau 2
2 Jul 2026
61
W
@ Tobol 2
14 May 2026
21
Kaspij Aktau 2

Kaspij Aktau 2

L
@ Sport Academy Kairat
17 Jul 2026
06
L
@ Astana II
2 Jul 2026
16
W
@ Yelimay Semey 2
14 May 2026
40

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Astana II vs Kaspij Aktau 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Astana II to win with 60% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Astana II vs Kaspij Aktau 2?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Astana II vs Kaspij Aktau 2?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Astana II vs Kaspij Aktau 2?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more