1. Division1. Division
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Astana II

Astana II

Home
WLW
10
Full time
Jaiyq

Jaiyq

Away
LWD
GoalVio prediction
53% confidence
Astana II(53%)
Most likely exact score2-1
Prediction correct— Result: Astana II
Win probability
Astana II
53%
Draw
26%
Jaiyq
22%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Astana II
89
Jaiyq
34
Defence
Astana II
66
Jaiyq
66
Momentum
Astana II
67
Jaiyq
44
Danger (xG)
Astana II
2.40
Jaiyq
0.90
Both teams to score
Yes
Over 2.5 goals
Yes
xG for (Astana II)
2.40
avg per match
xG for (Jaiyq)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Astana II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Jaiyq)
0.90
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Astana IIAstana II
WLWW
JaiyqJaiyq
LWDLL

Probability breakdown

53% confidence
Astana II53%
Draw26%
Jaiyq22%

Astana II leads with 53% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Astana II head into this in 1. Division fixture in decent form (WLW), while Jaiyq arrive in mixed form (LWD). Astana II have a 67% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 33% for Jaiyq over 3 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Astana II's elite attack (89/100) faces a solid Jaiyq defence (66/100), while Jaiyq's attack is up against a solid Astana II backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Astana II's favour.

Astana II have won all 2 of their recent home fixtures, averaging 3.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Jaiyq have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away game.

Astana II have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Astana II to win with 53% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-1. Win probabilities: Astana II 5289%, Draw 2560%, Jaiyq 2151%. BTTS: Yes, Over 2.5: Yes.

Head to head

Astana II 1Draws 00 Jaiyq
Avg goals: 1.0
17 Jul 2026
Astana II
W10
Jaiyq

Recent form

Astana II

Astana II

W
vs Jaiyq
17 Jul 2026
10
L
@ Yelimay Semey 2
10 Jul 2026
12
W
vs Kaspij Aktau 2
2 Jul 2026
61
W
@ Tobol 2
14 May 2026
21
Jaiyq

Jaiyq

L
@ Astana II
17 Jul 2026
01
W
vs Tobol 2
9 Jul 2026
10
D
@ Turan Turkistan
3 Jul 2026
22
L
vs Akademiya Ontustik
25 Jun 2026
01
L
vs Ekibastuz
15 May 2026
01

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Astana II vs Jaiyq?

GoalVio's model predicts Astana II to win with 53% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Astana II vs Jaiyq?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-1.

Will both teams score in Astana II vs Jaiyq?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: Yes — both teams are expected to score.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Astana II vs Jaiyq?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: Yes.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more