Assyriska FFvs
Piteå
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/27/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Assyriska FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Assyriska FF 1-2 Piteå
Original prediction
Assyriska FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.6% | 45.7% | -9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.99 | 22.7% | 25.4% | 2.7 pts |
| Away | 4.17 | 21.7% | 28.9% | 7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–27%
Predicted outcome
Assyriska FF
Probability
45.7%
Model confidence
45.7%
Assyriska FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60