Assyriska FFvs
FBK Karlstad
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/11/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FBK Karlstad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Assyriska FF 1-0 FBK Karlstad
Original prediction
FBK Karlstad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 15:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.45 | 37.0% | 37.0% | 0.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 21.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.8% | 41.1% | 3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
FBK Karlstad
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
FBK Karlstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80