Assyriska FFvs
Arlanda
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 10/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arlanda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Assyriska FF 1-3 Arlanda
Original prediction
Arlanda
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.62 | 34.7% | 31.4% | -3.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.4% | 22.4% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.9% | 46.3% | 5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
Arlanda
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Arlanda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Assyriska FFLWLLW
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
ArlandaLLWWW
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Assyriska FFArlanda
55.6Attack57.7
40.7Defence57.7
43.2Form57.7
47.2Power57.7
1.49xG1.96