Assyriska FFvs
AFC Eskilstuna
COMPLETEDSweden · Ettan - Norra · 9/17/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Eskilstuna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Assyriska FF 2-5 AFC Eskilstuna
Original prediction
AFC Eskilstuna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.5% | 32.2% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.62 | 24.9% | 26.2% | 1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.5% | 41.6% | 4.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
AFC Eskilstuna
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
AFC Eskilstuna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20