GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/8/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

José Bonifácio · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Assisense are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while José Bonifácio are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 2.33 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and José Bonifácio hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 67.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.9% in the Paulista Série B, while José Bonifácio holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

José Bonifácio

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

14.9%

José Bonifácio has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AssisenseWWLLD

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
José BonifácioWWW

GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 2.33/0.00

BTTS 0/3O2.5 1/3
AssisenseJosé Bonifácio
47.2Attack54.8
55.6Defence73.8
41.7Form69.0
50.6Power67.1
0.76xG1.41
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