ASPL 2000vs
Durban City
SCHEDULEDWorld · CAF Confederation Cup · 10/24/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Durban City · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (13%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction details
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: -| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 11.50 | 7.8% | 22.7% | 14.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.15 | 17.5% | 25.6% | 8.0 pts |
| Away | 1.21 | 74.6% | 51.7% | -22.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 - · Draw - · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Durban City
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Durban City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ASPL 2000LWD
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/1.33
BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Durban CityWLDLW
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ASPL 2000Durban City
33.3Attack66.7
55.6Defence77.8
44.4Form100.0
47.5Power85.2
0.89xG1.37