Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
MC Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASO Chlef 0-1 MC Oran
Original prediction
MC Oran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 3.50+| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.10 | 42.6% | 33.3% | -9.4 pts |
| Draw | 2.81 | 31.9% | 29.6% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 3.52 | 25.4% | 37.1% | 11.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
MC Oran
Probability
37.1%
Model confidence
37.1%
MC Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ASO ChlefLDLLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
MC OranWWDLW
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
ASO ChlefMC Oran
50.0Attack66.7
0.0Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
26.2Power88.7
1.00xG1.39