GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 1 · 9/30/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CS Constantine · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

ASO Chlef are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while CS Constantine are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and CS Constantine hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.4% in the Ligue 1, while CS Constantine holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CS Constantine

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

40.4%

CS Constantine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ASO ChlefDW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
CS ConstantineWLWWW

GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ASO ChlefCS Constantine
45.6Attack51.1
55.6Defence66.7
45.6Form58.9
50.8Power60.4
0.95xG1.28
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