ASM Oranvs
WA Mostaganem
COMPLETEDAlgeria · Ligue 2 · 9/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASM Oran · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASM Oran 3-1 WA Mostaganem
Original prediction
ASM Oran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 25 September 2026 at 11:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.37 | 64.7% | 44.1% | -20.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.57 | 24.9% | 28.4% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 8.46 | 10.5% | 27.5% | 17.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.37 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
ASM Oran
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
ASM Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ASM OranNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
WA MostaganemNo completed matches
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
BTTS 0/0O2.5 0/0
ASM OranWA Mostaganem
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.46xG1.24