Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASM Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: ASM Oran 1-0 Taghit, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
ASM Oran 6-1 Taghit
Original prediction
ASM Oran
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 12:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 75.9% | 51.0% | -24.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.85 | 18.4% | 27.4% | 9.0 pts |
| Away | 15.64 | 5.7% | 21.6% | 15.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-24.9 pts
Projected Score
ASM Oran 1–0 Taghit
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
ASM Oran
Probability
51.0%
Model confidence
51.0%
ASM Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
ASM OranWLWLW
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TaghitDLLL
GF 1 · GA 7 · avg 0.25/1.75
BTTS 1/4O2.5 1/4
ASM OranTaghit
33.3Attack8.3
75.0Defence41.7
50.0Form8.3
54.5Power22.8
1.37xG0.63