GGOALVIO

Algeria · Ligue 2 · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

ASM Oran · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

ASM Oran 0-0 Sidi Benali

Original prediction

ASM Oran

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 21 October 2026 at 08:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.4562.2%48.0%-14.2 pts
Draw3.8823.2%27.5%4.4 pts
Away6.1314.7%24.4%9.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-14.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.2–011%

Predicted outcome

ASM Oran

Probability

48.0%

Model confidence

48.0%

ASM Oran has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

ASM OranDWWLW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sidi BenaliWLWDL

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ASM OranSidi Benali
55.6Attack55.6
77.8Defence44.4
55.6Form55.6
61.4Power54.2
1.68xG0.87
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