Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Askøy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Askøy are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Gneist are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Askøy hold a 38.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.8% in the 3. Division - Girone 3, while Askøy holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Askøy
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
7.8%
Askøy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40