Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Askøy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (6%), 2-3 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Askøy 1-4 Brann II
Original prediction
Askøy
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.3% | 42.8% | -10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 21.6% | 24.4% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 3.59 | 25.1% | 32.8% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–27%
- 2.3–26%
- 3.2–36%
Predicted outcome
Askøy
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Askøy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AskøyWDLWL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Brann IIWWDDL
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AskøyBrann II
50.0Attack91.7
50.0Defence16.7
50.0Form58.3
50.0Power50.5
2.76xG2.50