Askervs
Stromsgodset
COMPLETEDNorway · NM Cupen · 9/8/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stromsgodset · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asker 1-4 Stromsgodset
Original prediction
Stromsgodset
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 September 2026 at 20:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.60 | 12.0% | 32.5% | 20.5 pts |
| Draw | 5.46 | 16.8% | 24.5% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.28 | 71.2% | 43.0% | -28.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.28 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-28.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Stromsgodset
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Stromsgodset has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 13 · avg 3.60/2.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40