Askervs
Nordstrand
COMPLETEDNorway · 3. Division - Girone 1 · 9/26/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asker · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 3-2 (7%), 3-1 (6%), 2-2 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asker 1-0 Nordstrand
Original prediction
Asker
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 31 August 2026 at 20:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.06 | 85.5% | 58.0% | -27.5 pts |
| Draw | 9.42 | 9.6% | 19.5% | 9.9 pts |
| Away | 18.58 | 4.9% | 22.5% | 17.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.06 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-27.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.3–27%
- 2.3–16%
- 3.2–26%
Predicted outcome
Asker
Probability
58.0%
Model confidence
58.0%
Asker has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AskerWWLWW
GF 23 · GA 9 · avg 4.60/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
NordstrandWDLLL
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AskerNordstrand
100.0Attack83.3
0.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
71.0Power29.8
3.42xG2.20