ASIL Lysivs
Iraklis Yerolakkou
COMPLETEDCyprus · 2. Division · 10/10/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
ASIL Lysi · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
ASIL Lysi 2-0 Iraklis Yerolakkou
Original prediction
ASIL Lysi
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.62 | 55.9% | 42.1% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.1% | 28.7% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.74 | 19.0% | 29.2% | 10.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.62 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
ASIL Lysi
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
ASIL Lysi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80