Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Talant · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Asiagoal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Talant are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Talant hold a 5.5-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 45.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.3% in the Premier League, while Talant holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Talant
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
15.3%
Talant has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.40/0.60
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60