Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asiagoal · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Asiagoal are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Neftchi are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Neftchi hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 44.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.1% in the Premier League, while Asiagoal holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Asiagoal
Probability
34.1%
Model confidence
34.1%
Asiagoal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00