Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alga · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2
Asiagoal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Alga are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Alga hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (40.3 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.7% in the Premier League, while Alga holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Alga
Probability
63.7%
Model confidence
63.7%
Alga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60