Asia Talasvs
Toktogul
COMPLETEDKyrgyzstan · Premier League · 10/9/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Asia Talas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%), 3-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Asia Talas 2-0 Toktogul
Original prediction
Asia Talas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 8 October 2026 at 14:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.7% | 63.0% | 2.3 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.5% | 20.0% | -2.5 pts |
| Away | 5.37 | 16.8% | 16.9% | 0.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.2–09%
- 3.3–18%
Predicted outcome
Asia Talas
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
Asia Talas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 7 · avg 2.60/1.40
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00