GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/25/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashton United · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ashton United are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Ilkeston Town are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ashton United holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashton United

Probability

44.3%

Model confidence

13.4%

Ashton United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ashton UnitedWDDWL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Ilkeston TownWWDWL

GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Ashton UnitedIlkeston Town
100.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
1.52xG1.16
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