GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/28/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashton United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Ashton United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Gainsborough Trinity are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold a 33.5-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 56.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ashton United holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashton United

Probability

52.9%

Model confidence

12.1%

Ashton United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ashton UnitedWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Gainsborough TrinityLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Ashton UnitedGainsborough Trinity
83.3Attack50.0
83.3Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
89.7Power56.2
1.80xG1.07
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