GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Northern · 8/15/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashton United · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Ashton United are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LWDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Basford United are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashton United hold a 50.3-point power-rating edge (89.7 v 39.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.5% in the Non League Premier - Northern, while Ashton United holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 55% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashton United

Probability

66.5%

Model confidence

66.5%

Ashton United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Ashton UnitedLWDD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.25/2.25

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Basford UnitedDW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 2/2
Ashton UnitedBasford United
83.3Attack35.8
83.3Defence46.3
100.0Form30.1
89.7Power39.3
2.19xG0.76
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