GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/8/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ashdod are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.25 conceded, while Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashdod

Probability

37.9%

Model confidence

37.9%

Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AshdodLDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Hapoel Tel AvivDDLDW

GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AshdodHapoel Tel Aviv
20.0Attack66.7
80.0Defence33.3
53.3Form33.3
54.1Power45.3
1.34xG1.07
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