Ashdodvs
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/17/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ashdod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ashdod 3-2 Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Original prediction
Ashdod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 52.3% | 44.4% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 25.8% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.97 | 22.8% | 29.8% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Ashdod
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AshdodWWWWL
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Rishon LeZionWDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodHapoel Rishon LeZion
73.3Attack66.7
80.0Defence73.3
80.0Form86.7
75.8Power78.2
1.50xG1.23