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Ashdod logoAshdodvsHapoel Petah Tikva logoHapoel Petah Tikva

COMPLETED

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/5/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Ashdod are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hapoel Petah Tikva are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold a 19.9-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.8% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashdod

Probability

43.8%

Model confidence

43.8%

Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AshdodDLWDD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Petah TikvaLLLLW

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AshdodHapoel Petah Tikva
20.0Attack25.0
80.0Defence41.7
53.3Form25.0
54.1Power34.2
1.42xG0.82
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