Ashdodvs
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ashdod · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ashdod 4-0 Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Original prediction
Ashdod
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.73 | 51.5% | 41.6% | -9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.1% | 26.7% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.4% | 31.7% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.73 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Ashdod
Probability
41.6%
Model confidence
41.6%
Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AshdodWWLLW
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Kfar ShalemWLWWW
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AshdodHapoel Kfar Shalem
33.3Attack66.7
66.7Defence44.4
66.7Form66.7
58.8Power61.0
1.45xG1.32