GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/22/2025, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ashdod are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashdod

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AshdodWDDWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel KatamonWWWDL

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AshdodHapoel Katamon
20.0Attack58.3
80.0Defence50.0
53.3Form58.3
54.1Power57.5
1.24xG1.15
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