GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/28/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Ashdod are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Hapoel Katamon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Katamon hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 57.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.6% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashdod

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

34.6%

Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AshdodWWWDW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel KatamonLWLWL

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodHapoel Katamon
20.0Attack58.3
80.0Defence50.0
53.3Form58.3
54.1Power57.5
1.24xG1.15
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