GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/16/2025, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Ashdod are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Bnei Sakhnin are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold a 27.5-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ashdod

Probability

43.3%

Model confidence

43.3%

Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AshdodLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Bnei SakhninLWLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
AshdodBnei Sakhnin
20.0Attack16.7
80.0Defence50.0
53.3Form0.0
54.1Power26.7
1.38xG0.80
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