Ashdodvs
Beitar Jerusalem
COMPLETEDIsrael · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/3/2024, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ashdod · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Ashdod are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Beitar Jerusalem are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (54.1 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Ashdod holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ashdod
Probability
37.9%
Model confidence
37.9%
Ashdod has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00