GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/4/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beitar Jerusalem · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Ashdod are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beitar Jerusalem are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Beitar Jerusalem hold a 6.9-point power-rating edge (42.5 v 49.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.3% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Beitar Jerusalem holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beitar Jerusalem

Probability

41.3%

Model confidence

41.3%

Beitar Jerusalem has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AshdodLDWWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Beitar JerusalemLLLDW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodBeitar Jerusalem
29.3Attack45.5
54.5Defence59.6
37.4Form41.4
42.5Power49.4
0.75xG1.15
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